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"Scary scenarios." Report: China's invasion of Taiwan will be worse than Ukraine war

National Anchor, the U.S. The magazine, has drawn frightening scenarios of what the consequences of China's invasion of Taiwan would be, warning that it would lead to direct war with the United States.

"Compared to the war in Ukraine, the war between China and Taiwan will have much worse consequences than we currently imagine," the magazine warned in a report published Sunday.

The magazine considered that any war between China and Taiwan was likely to involve U.S. Intervention, unlike the Russian-Ukrainian war, where Washington simply provided military and financial equipment and resources.

"A direct confrontation between Chinese and U.S. forces, the world's two nuclear powers and the world's two largest economies, will be unexpected and have frightening consequences," the magazine said.

"As we saw with the Russian-Ukrainian war, the war had a major impact on the global economy and its markets, particularly with regard to oil and food.... However, the conflict between China, Taiwan and the United States would cause much greater disruption, as the Chinese economy is almost the same size as the entire EU economy, and China is also the largest trading partner with more than 120 countries in the world."

International factory

China is also a "global manufacturer," as its manufacturing production is larger than that of the United States, Japan and Germany combined, which means that any conflict would disrupt the trade of goods on which many of its trading partners depend to stabilize their society and feed their people, the magazine said in its report.

"The disruptions in the supply chain from a country that acts as a factory for many of the world's goods will be devastating." For example, China produces a large part of the prescriptions and personal protection equipment on which the American people depend."

"Any dispute with China will certainly disrupt this supply of medicines and medical supplies... In addition, Taiwan is a leading producer of advanced chips worldwide, with only one Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) accounting for more than 50% of the global market share of chips... All this makes it clear to reasonable people that the war between China and Taiwan must be effectively avoided and prevented wherever possible."

Logistical problem

The magazine stated that if Russia faced a logistical problem in supporting the war front in Ukraine, China would have no problem doing so in Taiwan, noting that it would be very easy to isolate Taiwan because it was an island.

"In the interests of the Taiwanese people, there are no easy ways to escape like Ukraine, where Taiwan is surrounded by water. Taiwan is also very close to mainland China, while the narrow strait of 100 miles (165 km) makes Taiwan's effective missile defense extremely difficult."

Compared to Russia, China is the world's second largest economy with many human and material resources, all of which will focus on a strong and collectively acceptable vision of reunification with Taiwan, the magazine said.

It would be a war prepared by China since 1949, she said, adding that the Chinese army had built several local copies of its main military objectives in Taiwan, such as a major military airport and even the presidential office building in Taiwan.

"For China, the important lesson from Ukraine must be that an invasion against another country is unacceptable to the entire international community," the magazine said. The invasion of Taiwan will have long and significant negative consequences instead of bringing China what it really wants. China therefore needs to seriously consider the long-term consequences of Taiwan's rule, where inevitable rebellions and resistance must be expected from the Taiwanese people."

Beijing Dream

"Moreover, Beijing's dream of becoming a respected global power requires functional relations with the West... It is in China's main interest to avoid full confrontation and hostility with the entire West over Taiwan. Self-sufficiency and deepening relations with the developing world are important, but they are not alternatives."

For the United States, long-term strategically visionary policymakers should realize that using Taiwan as a tool to contain or defeat China is desirable, but it would be a very dangerous game to play because the consequences of such a measure would be unexpected, the magazine said.

"Instead of seeing the desired outcome of the United States, it is likely to face consequences that will be largely negative, deeply felt, and lasting... Even putting aside the economic consequences, one of the worst-case scenarios for U.S. strategists is for China to take control of Taiwan because this would break the first island chain of control and allow China to take greater control of the Asia-Pacific region... Moreover, any arming of Taiwan could create a bad security dilemma, and could incite and accelerate the conflict between China, Taiwan and the United States."